NETANYAHU FACES A CRIMINAL CASE CONSISTING OF THREE SEPARATE FILES ON CHARGES OF BRIBERY, FRAUD, AND BREACH OF TRUST: FILES NUMBERED 1000, 2000, AND 4000. STARTING IN 2020, THESE TRIALS ARE STILL ONGOING WITH FULL MOMENTUM AS OF 2026. MORE IMPORTANTLY, NETANYAHU'S CROSS-EXAMINATION IN COURT WAS CONCLUDED IN 2026, AND THE TRIAL CONTINUES TO PROGRESS WITHIN THE JUDICIAL PROCESS.
THE COST OF LOSING POWER: JUDICIAL AND INTERNATIONAL PRESSURE
IF NETANYAHU LOSES THE ELECTION, LOSING HIS POLITICAL POWER AND CONSEQUENTLY THE PROTECTION AND SPHERE OF INFLUENCE PROVIDED BY THE OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER WILL BECOME MUCH MORE CRITICAL REGARDING THE OUTCOMES OF THE TRIAL.
FURTHERMORE, THE ISSUE IS NOT LIMITED TO DOMESTIC LAW ALONE. THE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT (ICC) ISSUED AN ARREST WARRANT FOR NETANYAHU ON NOVEMBER 21, 2024. THE ICC DESIGNATED NETANYAHU AS A WANTED PERSON WITHIN THE SCOPE OF ALLEGATIONS ASSOCIATING HIM WITH WAR CRIMES AND CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY IN THE CONTEXT OF GAZA, AND THIS ARREST WARRANT STILL REMAINS IN THE ICC'S OFFICIAL RECORDS.
THEREFORE, IF NETANYAHU LOSES THE ELECTION, HE COULD FACE AN EVEN HARSHER PROCESS FRAUGHT WITH BOTH DOMESTIC POLITICAL AND LEGAL PRESSURES AS WELL AS INTERNATIONAL LEGAL PROCEEDINGS. THIS SITUATION BRINGS ALONG THE RISK OF HIM TAKING STEPS THAT COULD ESCALATE TENSIONS IN THE REGION, INCLUDING TURKEY, IN ORDER TO PROTECT HIS RULE.
RISING RISKS ON THE TURKEY-ISRAEL AXIS
TODAY, WE ARE PASSING THROUGH A PERIOD WHERE TENSIONS ARE RISING DANGEROUSLY ON THE TURKEY-ISRAEL AXIS, PARTICULARLY VIA SYRIA. NETANYAHU'S OPEN WARNINGS TARGETING TURKEY'S MILITARY PRESENCE IN SYRIA ARE AMONG THE INDICATORS OF THIS.
IT IS UNACCEPTABLE FOR NETANYAHU TO DRAG ISRAEL AND THE REGION INTO A LARGER CONFLICT JUST TO SAVE HIS POLITICAL FUTURE. SHOULD THIS POLICY OF PROVOCATION TURN INTO A DIRECT ACTION AGAINST TURKEY, IT WILL HAVE EXTREMELY SEVERE AND UNPREDICTABLE CONSEQUENCES FOR NETANYAHU AS WELL AS FOR ISRAEL.
AV. FATİH KELEŞ
23/08/2026
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